BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Arizona St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 58 Conference: Pacific 12 Record: (11-9) Overall: (20-11) Overall Strength =   32.33

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Home    W    23.75  62  59    1 155 ( 15- 15) Tarleton St            -8.58     11.58                      
  2 11-10-2022 Home    W    32.13  84  68    1 224 ( 10- 22) Northern Arizona       -0.20     16.20                      
  3 11-13-2022 Away    L    16.36  66  67 1  1 306 ( 11- 20) TX Southern           -15.97     14.97                      
  4 11-16-2022 Neutral W    34.51  63  59    1  80 ( 24-  7) VCU                     2.18      1.82                      
  5 11-17-2022 Neutral W    58.45  87  62    1  47 ( 17- 13) Michigan               26.12     -1.12                      
  6 11-22-2022 Home    W    48.91  80  49    1 201 ( 22-  8) Grambling              16.58     14.42                      
  7 11-27-2022 Home    W    34.95  76  54    1 252 ( 18- 12) Alcorn St               2.62     19.38                      
  8 12-01-2022 Away    W *  37.28  60  59    1  53 ( 16- 15) Colorado                4.94     -3.94                      
  9 12-04-2022 Home    W *  30.76  68  64    1  85 ( 13- 18) Stanford               -1.57      5.57                      
 10 12-07-2022 Away    W    42.93  75  57    1 174 ( 10- 20) SMU                    10.60      7.40                      
 11 12-12-2022 Neutral W    41.08  73  71    1  12 ( 20- 11) Creighton               8.75     -6.75                      
 12 12-18-2022 Home    W    40.54  91  67    1 218 ( 11- 20) San Diego               8.21     15.79                      
 13 12-21-2022 Away    L    -5.83  60  97    1  99 ( 20- 13) San Francisco         -38.16      1.16                      
 14 12-31-2022 Home    L *  27.81  60  69    1   7 ( 25-  6) Arizona                -4.52     -4.48                      
 15 01-05-2023 Home    W *  35.36  77  71    1  54 ( 16- 15) Washington St           3.03      2.97                      
 16 01-08-2023 Home    W *  32.59  73  65    1  94 ( 16- 15) Washington              0.26      7.74                      
 17 01-12-2023 Away    W *  54.51  90  73    1  40 ( 18- 13) Oregon                 22.18     -5.18                      
 18 01-14-2023 Away    W *  29.44  74  69    1 197 ( 11- 20) Oregon St              -2.89      7.89                      
 19 01-19-2023 Home    L *  27.75  62  74    1   2 ( 27-  4) UCLA                   -4.58     -7.42                      
 20 01-21-2023 Home    L *  23.22  69  77    1  37 ( 22-  9) Southern Cal           -9.11      1.11                      
 21 01-26-2023 Away    L *  28.34  66  69 1  1  94 ( 16- 15) Washington             -3.99      0.99                      
 22 01-28-2023 Away    L *  19.11  58  75    1  54 ( 16- 15) Washington St         -13.22     -3.78                      
 23 02-02-2023 Home    W *  28.69  68  57    1 197 ( 11- 20) Oregon St              -3.64     14.64                      
 24 02-04-2023 Home    L *  25.76  70  75    1  40 ( 18- 13) Oregon                 -6.57      1.57                      
 25 02-09-2023 Away    W *  37.51  69  65    1  85 ( 13- 18) Stanford                5.18     -1.18                      
 26 02-11-2023 Away    W *  29.32  70  62 1  1 246 (  3- 28) California             -3.02     11.02                      
 27 02-16-2023 Home    L *  21.53  59  67    1  53 ( 16- 15) Colorado              -10.81      2.81                      
 28 02-18-2023 Home    W *  37.48  67  59    1  55 ( 17- 14) Utah                    5.15      2.85                      
 29 02-25-2023 Away    W *  44.56  89  88    1   7 ( 25-  6) Arizona                12.23    -11.23                      
 30 03-02-2023 Away    L *  28.50  61  79    1   2 ( 27-  4) UCLA                   -3.83    -14.17                      
 31 03-04-2023 Away    L *  34.97  65  68    1  37 ( 22-  9) Southern Cal            2.64     -5.64                      
      Averages              32.33  70.7 67.6

Best game:   58.45 = 25 point win over Michigan
Worst game:  -5.83 = 37 point loss to San Francisco
Team stdev:  11.93